{"id":1024,"date":"2026-03-26T08:31:08","date_gmt":"2026-03-26T08:31:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/why-geopolitics-doesnt-make-markets-panic\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T07:32:56","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T07:32:56","slug":"why-geopolitics-doesnt-make-markets-panic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/why-geopolitics-doesnt-make-markets-panic\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Geopolitics Doesn&rsquo;t Make Markets Panic"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 id=\"why-geopolitics-doesnt-make-markets-panic\">Why Geopolitics Doesn\u2019t Make Markets Panic<\/h1>\n<p>Financial markets are under pressure, especially when geopolitics gets involved. Right now, with concerns in the Middle East, you might expect the worst. Yet, the stock market isn\u2019t collapsing. In fact, indices are holding up pretty well. I invite you to decipher this surprising situation together, to see how I adapt my discipline, and why it\u2019s sometimes better to stay on the sidelines.<\/p>\n<p><b><\/p>\n<div style=\"max-width: 560px; margin: 0 auto; line-height: 1.5 !important;\">\n<div style=\"line-height: 0;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/b><div class=\"lyte-wrapper fourthree\" title=\"Nasdaq Trading: Almost bought, then passed my turn (spread, liquidity)\" style=\"width:420px;max-width:100%;margin:5px auto;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_1HtnvgXjBiY\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/1HtnvgXjBiY\/hqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/1HtnvgXjBiY\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT15M9S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2026-03-26T08:30:16Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_1HtnvgXjBiY\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/1HtnvgXjBiY\/hqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Nasdaq Trading: Almost bought, then passed my turn (spread, liquidity)<\/div><\/div><button tabindex=\"0\" class=\"play\"><\/button><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/1HtnvgXjBiY\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/1HtnvgXjBiY\/0.jpg\" alt=\"Nasdaq Trading: Almost bought, then passed my turn (spread, liquidity)\" width=\"420\" height=\"295\" \/><br \/>Lire cette vid\u00e9o sur YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Nasdaq Trading: I explain a very concrete hesitation on a level I like, and why I didn&#039;t enter despite a bounce happening right after. The key point was the order book: way too empty, with an already wide spread, and at a time when European markets were not yet open. It reminded me that trading isn&#039;t just about catching a setup, it is pure adaptation to timing, liquidity, and volatility. And sometimes, doing nothing is simply being prudent. Subscribe if this helps. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a &#36;100 USD gift token \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/news\/ 30 years of trading, 25 years of teaching, a double expertise at the service of your success \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/ Benoist Rousseau Trader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Risk Warning: Trading in leveraged financial instruments may expose you to a risk of loss exceeding deposits and is only suitable for experienced clients who have sufficient financial means to bear such risk. Transactions in foreign exchange instruments (Forex), contracts for difference (CFDs), Futures, Stocks, ETFs... are highly speculative and particularly complex and carry a high level of risk due to leverage. You must ensure that you understand how these instruments work and that you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. The videos and articles on this site are for educational and informational purposes only and are not investment advice or any inducement to buy or sell financial instruments. Every investor must make their own judgment before investing in a financial product to ensure it is suitable for their financial, tax and legal situation.\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:420px;margin:5px auto;\"><\/div><b><\/b><br \/>Subscribe to the Youtube channel in 1 click <script src=\"https:\/\/apis.google.com\/js\/platform.js\"><\/script><span class=\"g-ytsubscribe\" data-channelid=\"UCdJNLC4XwD9bwYXDNcxLIzQ\" data-layout=\"default\" data-count=\"hidden\" <b>style=\u00a0\u00bbvertical-align: middle; margin-left: 5px;\u00a0\u00bb><\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"the-background-diplomatic-hallway-rumors\">The Background: Diplomatic Hallway Rumors<\/h2>\n<p>Currently, tension is palpable between the United States, Israel, and Iran. On one hand, Donald Trump claims that negotiations are progressing. On the other, the Iranian government outright denies any discussion. Basically, we have completely contradictory information.<\/p>\n<p>But honestly, nobody is lying. It\u2019s just the harsh reality of diplomacy. Crisis negotiations always involve intermediaries to maintain a structural safety net. Imagine a magnificent hotel. The Americans are in one room, the Iranians in another. Mediators pace back and forth in the hallway to pass messages. This is the famous open channel, an unwavering historical tradition.<\/p>\n<p>Despite this constant blur, it\u2019s very clear that the markets are not giving in to panic.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"signs-proving-the-absence-of-fear\">Signs Proving the Absence of Fear<\/h2>\n<p>To get a clear view of the situation, you just need to look at the assets people flock to when things go wrong. And here, absolute surprise:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Gold is collapsing: Historically, when there is fear, people buy gold. Sheltering your money is human nature. Here, it has dropped by nearly 12.5%. It can\u2019t even hold its ground amidst the news.<\/li>\n<li>Bitcoin is treading water: After a solid failure below $75,000, it lost 10%. It is now moving in a range, stuck around $70,000. <\/li>\n<li>No flash panic: If the anxiety were total, we would lose 10% in a single day with trading halts. However, the current decline, although real, is spread out slowly and without destructive waves.<\/li>\n<li>Oil is slowly going back up: Our WTI barrel is getting some vague color back. By the way, this reminds me of the Covid anomaly. The global slowdown was so severe that storage fees skyrocketed. They were almost paying you to take barrels off their hands because it cost an arm and a leg! Today, thankfully, we are far from such an extreme scenario.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2 id=\"my-discipline-in-hesitant-markets\">My Discipline in Hesitant Markets<\/h2>\n<p>On the Nasdaq and the S&amp;P 500, we are trapped in &quot;ranges&quot;. Simply put, prices are moving back and forth within a narrow corridor of barely 1%, making cycles hard to read.<\/p>\n<p>This morning, around 7:15 AM, I spotted a nice buying opportunity on the Nasdaq, precisely at my favorite level of 24,240. The market actually bounced back by 40 points shortly after. If I had taken the position, my day would have been made. Yet, I must admit I didn\u2019t take any trades.<\/p>\n<p>Why such a decision? Quite simply because of the order book (the board displaying buy and sell requests). There was an immense gap between prices, commonly known as the spread. Liquidity providers were missing in action. To me, capital always matters more than ego. At 52, if I\u2019ve survived crashes for 32 years, it\u2019s thanks to this strict prudence, especially outside European trading hours.<\/p>\n<p>Over in Europe, the CAC 40 is attempting a difficult rebound above 7,800 points after long days of falling. The German DAX, meanwhile, is hanging on just below 23,000 points following a clear downward stratification of more than 10%. However, let\u2019s take a moment for nuance: stopping a retreat on a front line doesn\u2019t necessarily mean you\u2019ve won the war. There is still strong bearish inertia within the charts, and solid confirmations will be needed to chase the doubt away.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>To summarize, the current mental framework demands patience and an asymmetry of your risks. Indices often lack an obvious direction at certain times of the day, but there is no systemic panic in play. Stay cautious, always prioritize safeguarding your gains, and avoid trading at the slightest technical hesitation.<\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"encart\">\n<p>Benoist Rousseau<br \/>\nTrader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist<\/p>\n<p>About the author<br \/>\nBenoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator.<br \/>\nIn the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<p><getresponse-form fields=\"email,name\" form-id=\"58f316f9-64b8-49e1-9eb9-dce612bfba6c\" e=\"0\"><\/getresponse-form><\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><iframe name=\"Ausha Podcast Player\" frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\" id=\"ausha-DmwZ\" height=\"420\" style=\"border: none; width:100%; height:420px\" src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/?showId=A3nOvHk1pgeM&#038;color=%23751CBF&#038;display=horizontal&#038;multishow=false&#038;playlist=true&#038;dark=false&#038;v=3&#038;playerId=ausha-DmwZ\"><\/iframe><script src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/ausha-player.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Why Geopolitics Doesn\u2019t Make Markets Panic Financial markets are under pressure, especially when geopolitics gets involved. Right now, with concerns in the Middle East, you might\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1023,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1024","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Why Geopolitics Doesn&#039;t Make Markets Panic<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover why geopolitics isn&#039;t causing stock market panic and how I adapt my trading discipline to the Nasdaq and hesitant indices.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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