{"id":1141,"date":"2026-06-26T10:11:25","date_gmt":"2026-06-26T10:11:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/my-take-on-a-two-speed-market-ahead-of-a-risky-friday\/"},"modified":"2026-06-26T10:11:25","modified_gmt":"2026-06-26T10:11:25","slug":"my-take-on-a-two-speed-market-ahead-of-a-risky-friday","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/my-take-on-a-two-speed-market-ahead-of-a-risky-friday\/","title":{"rendered":"My Take on a Two-Speed Market Ahead of a Risky Friday"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 id=\"my-take-on-a-two-speed-market-ahead-of-a-risky-friday\">My Take on a Two-Speed Market Ahead of a Risky Friday<\/h1>\n<p>Yesterday, Wall Street literally split in two. On one side, you have the Dow Jones hitting a historic record, and on the other, the Nasdaq falling for the fourth consecutive time, weighed down by tech giants. It\u2019s a rather confusing situation that deserves a closer look. In this article, I\u2019ll break down this strange dynamic for you, talk about the artificial intelligence bill coming due for Apple, and most importantly, explain why today\u2019s trading session, a Friday, looks particularly dangerous.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<div style=\"max-width: 560px; margin: 20px auto; line-height: 0;\"><div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" title=\"Trading: The market isn&amp;#039;t rising everywhere, despite the Dow Jones record\" style=\"width:640px;max-width:100%;margin:5px auto;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_FiyotIK5Fio\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FFiyotIK5Fio%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/FiyotIK5Fio\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT31M30S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2026-06-26T10:10:23Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_FiyotIK5Fio\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FFiyotIK5Fio%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Trading: The market isn\u2019t rising everywhere, despite the Dow Jones record<\/div><\/div><button tabindex=\"0\" class=\"play\" aria-label=\"Play the video\"><\/button><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/FiyotIK5Fio\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FFiyotIK5Fio%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"Trading: The market isn&amp;#039;t rising everywhere, despite the Dow Jones record\" width=\"640\" height=\"340\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Trading and the US market: I&#039;m reviewing a split session where the Dow Jones hit an all-time high while the Nasdaq fell again. I explain the market breadth of the S&amp;P 500, the rotation of capital out of tech giants, the impact of Apple&#039;s decline, and the risk of a stall if star stocks underperform. I also detail why this Friday appears risky, discussing volatility, the need for caution with the Nasdaq, and risk management strategies before the market closes. Subscribe if this helps you. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a &#36;100 USD gift token \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau-trading.com\/en\/news\/ 30+ years of trading, 25+ years of teaching, a rare dual experience at your service. \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau-trading.com\/en\/ Benoist Rousseau Independent Trader \u2022 CME &amp; CBOT Member About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the TRADING series, drawing on over 30 years of experience on CME futures, he shares market session analysis, commented trade replays, psychology and risk management \u2014 no signals, no promises, raw and unfiltered trading. Risk Warning: Trading in leveraged financial instruments may expose you to a risk of loss exceeding deposits and is only suitable for experienced clients who have sufficient financial means to bear such risk. Transactions in foreign exchange instruments (Forex), contracts for difference (CFDs), Futures, Stocks, ETFs... are highly speculative and particularly complex and carry a high level of risk due to leverage. You must ensure that you understand how these instruments work and that you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. The videos and articles on this site are for educational and informational purposes only and are not investment advice or any inducement to buy or sell financial instruments. Every investor must make their own judgment before investing in a financial product to ensure it is suitable for their financial, tax and legal situation. Content dubbed from French source via HeyGen.\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:640px;margin:5px auto;\"><\/div><\/div>\n\n<div style=\"margin: 15px 0;\"><a class=\"yt-abo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCdJNLC4XwD9bwYXDNcxLIzQ?sub_confirmation=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><svg class=\"yt-abo-logo\" aria-hidden=\"true\" viewBox=\"0 0 28 20\" width=\"24\" height=\"17\"><rect width=\"28\" height=\"20\" rx=\"5\" fill=\"#fff\"\/><path d=\"M11.2 5.6v8.8l7.4-4.4z\" fill=\"#FF0000\"\/><\/svg><span>Subscribe to the YouTube channel in 1 click<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"a-schizophrenic-market-dow-jones-at-the-top-nasdaq-suffering\">A Schizophrenic Market: Dow Jones at the Top, Nasdaq Suffering<\/h2>\n<p>Honestly, the situation is incredible. The Dow Jones pushed to its maximum, breaking its all-time record, while the Nasdaq just keeps falling. We\u2019re seeing the tech giants start to slide, especially Apple. To sum up the week in tech: they try to rally, they get knocked back down. They try to rally, they get knocked back down again. Three times, I think you get the picture.<\/p>\n<p>In Europe, indices remained cautious, around +0.50%, as if they were waiting to see what would happen. But this morning, the futures are mostly in the red. Clearly, the market doesn\u2019t know which way to turn.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"apple-and-the-hefty-price-of-artificial-intelligence\">Apple and the Hefty Price of Artificial Intelligence<\/h2>\n<p>One of the big topics right now is the high US inflation, sitting at 4.1%. It\u2019s not a disaster yet, but it shouldn\u2019t go any higher, or the Fed might raise rates to cool things down. Fortunately, oil prices are collapsing, which could help get back under 4% in the coming months. Fingers crossed.<\/p>\n<p>But this situation has real consequences. Yesterday, Apple shook the markets by raising its prices. Why? Because artificial intelligence is devouring memory chip stocks in insane quantities. As a result, suppliers like Micron sell to AI players first, and if there\u2019s any left, they sell it to Apple&#8230; but for twice the price. The balance of power has shifted, and we, the customers, are the ones footing the bill. The entry-level MacBook went up by $100. It might seem symbolic, but it\u2019s a signal.<\/p>\n<p>Analysts are divided. Some, very optimistic, think that &quot;premium customers&quot; will absorb the increase without a problem. What\u2019s a premium customer? Basically, it\u2019s an enthusiast, a bit like me, who is dependent on Apple. I am living proof that it can go up by $100, and I\u2019ll keep buying. I must admit it\u2019s my work tool, and well, I also love the orange color of my latest iPhone\u2026 to the point of having two.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"is-the-market-rally-healthy-the-concept-of-breadth\">Is the Market Rally Healthy? The Concept of Breadth<\/h2>\n<p>To know if a rally is solid, we look at the &quot;market breadth.&quot; Basically, we want to know how many stocks are actually rising, to make sure one tree isn\u2019t hiding the forest. On the S&amp;P 500, which is a very broad index with 500 stocks, things are rather positive: 62% of stocks, or more than 6 out of 10, are above their 50-day moving average. Technically, this means a majority of the market is bullish.<\/p>\n<p>What we\u2019re observing is a rotation. Capital is moving away from the &quot;generals&quot; (the tech giants) to be spread among the &quot;soldiers,&quot; the smaller-cap stocks. It\u2019s a way of spreading risk. But be careful, it\u2019s a dangerous game. It\u2019s these same tech giants that, through the desire they create, attract a lot of money to the markets. If they start to disappoint in the long run, the entire market could eventually run out of steam. This is known as the halo effect. \ud83d\ude07<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"technical-analysis-why-this-friday-is-extremely-dangerous\">Technical Analysis: Why This Friday Is Extremely Dangerous<\/h2>\n<p>Let\u2019s be clear: today is extremely dangerous. It\u2019s a Friday, the market is all over the place, there\u2019s a bearish bias&#8230; In short, anything can happen, especially in the last hour. The Nasdaq, for example, has bounced several times off a key technical support level (the Monthly Middle S1 Pivot Point), but each bounce is weaker than the last. It smells of fragility.<\/p>\n<p>Personally, I don\u2019t like it at all when it stagnates like this. It often sets up a violent breakdown. My advice is simple: if you had a great week from Monday to Thursday, don\u2019t trade on Friday. Protect your profits and your morale. It\u2019s hard when you\u2019re passionate, but this is a marathon. It\u2019s better to start Monday fresh than to spend the weekend dwelling on a stupid loss.<\/p>\n<p>A trader is honest enough to say they don\u2019t predict the future. They identify danger zones. And right now, we\u2019re right in the middle of one. Anyone who tells you where the CAC 40 will be in a month isn\u2019t a trader; they\u2019re an analyst with their head in the clouds. Let\u2019s stay in the present. \ud83d\ude09<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"one-last-history-lesson-for-the-road\">One Last History Lesson for the Road<\/h2>\n<p>In the 1980s, Intel was threatened by Japanese competitors who were slashing prices on RAM. The CEO at the time, Andy Grove, made a radical decision: to abandon RAM and focus 100% on the microprocessor. This bet built the giant we know today. The lesson here is to know when to pivot when you feel your market is losing steam.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s the difference between a 180-degree turn (a real change of direction) and a 360-degree turn (which brings you back to where you started, as some journalists humorously put it). Knowing how to make a clean break with the past to focus your strength on what can work is an essential skill, in business as in trading.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>To sum up, we\u2019re facing a divided market where the apparent health of the Dow Jones masks the weakness in tech. Inflation is a burden, as shown by the Apple case, and a capital rotation is underway. But the most important thing to remember is the extreme caution required for this Friday. The risk is at its maximum. Sometimes, the best trading decision is not to trade at all. As for me, at 7 PM, I\u2019m shutting down the computer, and I advise you to do the same. Have an excellent weekend!<\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"encart\">\nBenoist Rousseau<br \/>\nIndependent Trader \u2022 CME &#038; CBOT Member<\/p>\n<p>Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne, and an experienced educator. With over 30 years of experience on CME futures, in the TRADING series he shares market session analysis, commented trade replays, psychology and risk management \u2014 no signals, no promises, raw and unfiltered trading.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<p><getresponse-form fields=\"email,name\" form-id=\"58f316f9-64b8-49e1-9eb9-dce612bfba6c\" e=\"0\"><\/getresponse-form><\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"tiers-clic tiers-ausha\" data-tiers-js=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/ausha-player.js\"><template class=\"tiers-src\"><iframe name=\"Ausha Podcast Player\" frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\" id=\"ausha-DmwZ\" height=\"420\" style=\"border: none; width:100%; height:420px\" src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/?showId=A8WwwHLGM7P5&#038;color=%23751CBF&#038;display=horizontal&#038;multishow=false&#038;playlist=true&#038;dark=false&#038;v=3&#038;playerId=ausha-DmwZ\"><\/iframe><\/template><p class=\"tiers-avis\">By starting the player, you accept Ausha&#039;s cookies.<\/p><button type=\"button\" class=\"tiers-btn\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" width=\"22\" height=\"22\"><path d=\"M8 5.5v13l11-6.5z\" fill=\"currentColor\"\/><\/svg><span>Listen to the episode<\/span><\/button><\/div><\/p>\n<p class=\"tiers-avis tiers-avis--haut\" data-lyte-avis hidden>By starting the video, you accept YouTube&#039;s cookies.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>My Take on a Two-Speed Market Ahead of a Risky Friday Yesterday, Wall Street literally split in two. On one side, you have the Dow Jones\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1140,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1141","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>My Take on a Two-Speed Market Ahead of a Risky Friday<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover why the market is split, with the Dow Jones hitting a record high while the Nasdaq and tech stocks continue their retreat.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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