{"id":1464,"date":"2026-11-03T09:16:53","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T09:16:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/how-i-analyze-the-plunge-in-tech-and-the-markets\/"},"modified":"2026-11-03T09:16:53","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T09:16:53","slug":"how-i-analyze-the-plunge-in-tech-and-the-markets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/how-i-analyze-the-plunge-in-tech-and-the-markets\/","title":{"rendered":"How I analyze the plunge in tech and the markets"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 id=\"how-i-analyze-the-plunge-in-tech-and-the-markets\">How I analyze the plunge in tech and the markets?<\/h1>\n<p>The markets have plunged 11% since October, and everyone is crying crash. But what\u2019s really going on behind the scenes? In fact, after 18 months of hard work on my new projects, I\u2019m thrilled to be back with you for an update. Today, we\u2019re going to dissect this brutal drop in the tech giants and figure out where the money is going. I\u2019ll share my analysis of the situation, from the US indices to Bitcoin, and even oil.<\/p>\n<div style=\"max-width: 560px; margin: 20px auto;\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center; font-size: 0.9em; margin: 0 0 8px;\">By playing this video, you accept YouTube&#8217;s cookies.<\/p>\n<div class=\"lyte-wrapper\" style=\"width:640px;max-width:100%;margin:5px auto;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_XABmRUy9_To\"><div id=\"lyte_XABmRUy9_To\" data-src=\"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FXABmRUy9_To%2Fhqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\"><\/div><\/div><button tabindex=\"0\" class=\"play\" aria-label=\"Play the video\"><\/button><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/XABmRUy9_To\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/wp-content\/plugins\/wp-youtube-lyte\/lyteCache.php?origThumbUrl=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ytimg.com%2Fvi%2FXABmRUy9_To%2F0.jpg\" alt=\"YouTube video thumbnail\" width=\"640\" height=\"340\" \/><br \/>Watch this video on YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:640px;margin:5px auto;\"><\/div><\/div>\n<div style=\"margin: 15px 0;\"><a class=\"yt-abo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCdJNLC4XwD9bwYXDNcxLIzQ?sub_confirmation=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><svg class=\"yt-abo-logo\" aria-hidden=\"true\" viewBox=\"0 0 28 20\" width=\"24\" height=\"17\"><rect width=\"28\" height=\"20\" rx=\"5\" fill=\"#fff\"\/><path d=\"M11.2 5.6v8.8l7.4-4.4z\" fill=\"#FF0000\"\/><\/svg><span>Subscribe to the YouTube channel in 1 click<\/span><\/a><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: center; margin: 20px 0;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCdJNLC4XwD9bwYXDNcxLIzQ?sub_confirmation=1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" style=\"display: inline-flex; align-items: center; gap: 11px; background: #cc0000; color: #ffffff; font-family: inherit; font-size: 0.9em; font-weight: 700; line-height: 1.2; padding: 11px 24px; border-radius: 999px; text-decoration: none;\"><span style=\"display: inline-flex; align-items: center; justify-content: center; flex-shrink: 0; width: 26px; height: 18px; background: #ffffff; color: #cc0000; border-radius: 5px; font-size: 10px; line-height: 1;\">&#9654;&#65038;<\/span>Subscribe to the YouTube channel in 1 click<\/a><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"doubt-sets-in-regarding-technology\">Doubt sets in regarding technology<\/h2>\n<p>Since early October, the Nasdaq has lost nearly 11%. This is what we call a creeping crash. Essentially, it\u2019s a massive wealth destruction, but a rather quiet one. The real reason? Investors are doubting the profitability of artificial intelligence.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s take Apple, for example. They sell tons of iPhones. It has become a mass-market product sold at luxury prices, and people are willing to go into debt to buy one. Yet, their profit margin is slightly declining. We went from an expected 46.9% to a forecast around 45%. On a \u20ac1,000 phone, that might seem like a mere detail. But scaled up to hundreds of billions of dollars, the difference is colossal.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s the same story for Amazon. Their Cloud division is exploding by 39%, but they are spending over $40 billion to stay in the race. Because of this, the question arises: how long can this debt-driven growth hold up?<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"my-3-observations-on-capital-movements\">My 3 observations on capital movements<\/h2>\n<p>Facing this tension, here is how the market is structured today:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>The flight to safe rates<\/strong>: Money is leaving tech stocks like Alphabet and Intel. Investors are taking their profits and securing their capital in US government bonds. Lending to the state for 10 years with a solid yield is reassuring.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Europe\u2019s revenge<\/strong>: While the Nasdaq is tanking, the DAX and the CAC 40 are holding up incredibly well. The cash freed up from American giants is finding opportunities right here with us. It\u2019s a great show of resilience from our industrial stocks.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The end of traditional safe havens<\/strong>: Gold has lost nearly 20%; the bubble has burst. And Bitcoin? After breaking through 80,000, the hack of a major platform cooled everyone down. With a 25% monthly volatility, it\u2019s neither stable nor reassuring. In short, we still aren\u2019t buying houses with cryptocurrency.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2 id=\"my-strategy-for-dealing-with-the-drop\">My strategy for dealing with the drop<\/h2>\n<p>On the Nasdaq, the trend is heavily bearish. All support levels are breaking one after the other. Therefore, whatever you do, don\u2019t rush in to buy.<\/p>\n<p>Personally, I\u2019ve been scalping. I buy on very strong support levels, but I sell within less than 2 minutes. It all comes down to discipline and mental framework.<\/p>\n<p><em>The important nuance<\/em>: I\u2019m waiting to see an upside breakout of the bearish trendline before genuinely positioning myself as a buyer again. An awesome scenario would be a nice drop down to 27,500 on Friday, followed by a genuine rebound. But be careful, this remains a probable scenario, not a certainty. You have to adapt to the market.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"conclusion-some-good-news-to-wrap-up\">Conclusion: Some good news to wrap up<\/h2>\n<p>Let\u2019s finish on a clear-headed and optimistic note. Oil approached $105, and then algorithms sold off en masse, causing prices to plummet by 10%. Geopolitical tensions are easing up a bit, especially with the ongoing discussions. Oil is continuing to flow freely.<\/p>\n<p>In summary, a barrel under $100 is excellent news for the global economy. It gives everyone some breathing room and helps keep inflation in check. Stay cautious, maintain your discipline, and I\u2019ll see you very soon for the next update.<\/p>\n<p class=\"tiers-avis tiers-avis--haut\" data-lyte-avis hidden>By starting the video, you accept YouTube&#039;s cookies.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How I analyze the plunge in tech and the markets? The markets have plunged 11% since October, and everyone is crying crash. But what\u2019s really going\u2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1463,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"andlil_sujets":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1464","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How I analyze the plunge in tech and the markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Understand the Nasdaq drop, Europe&#039;s resilience, and the fall of gold and Bitcoin. 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