{"id":862,"date":"2026-01-26T10:41:10","date_gmt":"2026-01-26T10:41:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T07:36:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T07:36:13","slug":"stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\/","title":{"rendered":"Stock Market: Why AI Isn't Driving Markets Higher Anymore (And My Key Levels)"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 id=\"stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\">Stock Market: Why AI Isn't Driving Markets Higher Anymore (And My Key Levels)<\/h1>\n<p>Welcome everyone to this market update. Honestly, the current situation is quite peculiar: we're getting a bit bored, aren't we? It's been two months since US indices have been treading water. We are stuck in what we call a \"range,\" meaning prices are navigating between two boundaries without taking a clear direction.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the buzz around artificial intelligence, the economy is stagnating. You're probably wondering why the Nasdaq isn't taking off when AI is everywhere? That's the paradox I'm going to explain, before giving you my precise levels to trade this situation.<\/p>\n<div style=\"position: relative; padding-bottom: 56.25%; height: 0; overflow: hidden;\"><div class=\"lyte-wrapper fourthree\" title=\"Nasdaq 2-Month Range: Expensive AI, Trump Tweets, Gold vs Bitcoin\" style=\"width:420px;max-width:100%;margin:5px auto;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_j6TppVOEgIY\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/j6TppVOEgIY\/hqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/j6TppVOEgIY\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT15M24S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2026-01-26T10:20:57Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_j6TppVOEgIY\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/j6TppVOEgIY\/hqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Nasdaq 2-Month Range: Expensive AI, Trump Tweets, Gold vs Bitcoin<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/j6TppVOEgIY\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/j6TppVOEgIY\/0.jpg\" alt=\"Nasdaq 2-Month Range: Expensive AI, Trump Tweets, Gold vs Bitcoin\" width=\"420\" height=\"295\" \/><br \/>Lire cette vid\u00e9o sur YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Nasdaq in range: in this Good Morning Trading, Benoist Rousseau details two months of stagnation within a range, featuring rebounds on key levels and sessions shaken by Donald Trump. He places this in a broader context: a stagnating US economy, rising AI costs, and profitability questions surrounding ChatGPT, followed by a comparison of indices like S&P 500 and Dow Jones against Europe&#039;s DAX40 and CAC40. The episode concludes with the rise of gold prices contrasted with a falling Bitcoin, currently far from its theoretical safe haven role. Subscribe if it helps. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a &#36;100 USD gift token \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/news\/ 30 years of trading, 25 years of teaching, a double expertise at the service of your success \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/ Benoist Rousseau Trader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Risk Warning: Trading in leveraged financial instruments may expose you to a risk of loss exceeding deposits and is only suitable for experienced clients who have sufficient financial means to bear such risk. Transactions in foreign exchange instruments (Forex), contracts for difference (CFDs), Futures, Stocks, ETFs... are highly speculative and particularly complex and carry a high level of risk due to leverage. You must ensure that you understand how these instruments work and that you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. The videos and articles on this site are for educational and informational purposes only and are not investment advice or any inducement to buy or sell financial instruments. Every investor must make their own judgment before investing in a financial product to ensure it is suitable for their financial, tax and legal situation.\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:420px;margin:5px auto;\"><\/div><\/div>\n<p>Subscribe to the YouTube channel in 1 click <script src=\"https:\/\/apis.google.com\/js\/platform.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"1-the-financial-truth-behind-ai\">1. The Financial Truth Behind AI<\/h2>\n<p>In my view, we need to face the reality of the numbers. We're told about an ultra-dynamic revolution, yet stock markets are stagnating. The problem is structural:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Costs are colossal:<\/strong> Running models like ChatGPT costs a fortune in servers. For now, these companies are losing billions.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Profitability is pending:<\/strong> It\u2019s an extraordinary model, certainly, but not yet profitable. Massive borrowing is needed to avoid sinking next year.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The concentration phase:<\/strong> Just like with automobiles at the beginning of the last century (we went from 90 manufacturers to a handful), many AI players will disappear or be bought out.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Basically, it's great, but it's not a money printer for investors yet. That's why tech is marking time.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"2-us-markets-how-to-play-the-range\">2. US Markets: How to Play the \"Range\"<\/h2>\n<p>On the pure trading side, this stagnation gives us a fairly readable strategy, albeit a tedious one. On the Nasdaq and S&P 500, the scenario is identical.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The context:<\/strong> We've been oscillating for two months. As soon as Donald Trump gets angry (geopolitical threats), we hit the bottom. As soon as he talks about tax cuts, we go back up.<\/li>\n<li><strong>My buying zone:<\/strong> I'm carefully watching the 25,500 points level. It's a key pivot. If we return to it, there are many buyers ready to pay. It\u2019s ideal for a small \"scalp\" (a quick round trip).<\/li>\n<li><strong>The resistance:<\/strong> Around 26,000 points, it blocks systematically. There is a sort of glass ceiling that we can't seem to break through.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>It's the same story on the Dow Jones. After a nice push in December thanks to investors fleeing overpriced tech, we are saturating.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"3-europe-and-the-cac-40-in-trouble\">3. Europe and the CAC 40 in Trouble<\/h2>\n<p>If you're barely holding it together, skip this paragraph. The situation in Europe is much heavier than in the United States.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>The DAX 40 (Germany):<\/strong> It's resisting a bit better but remains stuck in a bearish range. As long as we hold the previous month's high, we keep a little hope, but it's fragile.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The CAC 40 (France):<\/strong> Here, it's a drop. We lost 5% recently, and the symbolic level of 8,000 points is a zone of intense struggle. Between threats of US taxes on our wines and the lack of political dynamism (pension debates vs. AI revolution), investors are skittish.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Concretely, the French index is bouncing off its lows, while Germany is bouncing off its highs. That says it all.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"4-safe-havens-the-great-divide\">4. Safe Havens: The Great Divide<\/h2>\n<p>Finally, the current uncertainty has created a spectacular divergence between two often-compared assets.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Gold (The true refuge):<\/strong> It is exploding to the upside, stringing together records. This is the classic reaction to fear and geopolitical tensions. We've gained almost 15% since the beginning of the year.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Bitcoin (The false refuge?):<\/strong> Unlike gold, Bitcoin isn't protecting anyone right now. It's at its lowest for 15 days and is suffering shocks. If you were looking for immediate security, this wasn't the right horse these past few weeks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>To summarize, be careful. We are in \"manic\" phases dictated by current events and political statements. The market alternates between hyperactivity and total rest. In this context of waiting, prioritize key levels (like 25,500 on the Nasdaq) and don't try to anticipate a breakout that isn't coming. Discipline and patience above all.<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"encart\">\n<p>Benoist Rousseau<br \/>\nTrader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist<\/p>\n<p>About the author<br \/>\nBenoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator.<br \/>\nIn the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<p>Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock Market: Why AI Isn't Driving Markets Higher Anymore (And My Key Levels) Welcome everyone to this market update. Honestly, the current situation is quite peculiar: we're getting a bit bored, aren't we? It's been two months since US indices have been treading water. We are stuck in what we call a \"range,\" meaning prices [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":861,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Stock Market: Why AI Isn&#039;t Driving Markets Higher Anymore (And My Key Levels)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Analysis of market stagnation versus AI costs. Key Nasdaq levels, the CAC40 slump, and the Gold\/Bitcoin divergence explained simply for traders.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Benoist Rousseau\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Benoist Rousseau\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/2b6f1d33be6ec21d70fbf33dd1d5c5d4\"},\"headline\":\"Stock Market: Why AI Isn't Driving Markets Higher Anymore (And My Key Levels)\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-01-26T10:41:10+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-05T07:36:13+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":733,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/260126_000151_T-GMT_gmt_EN-US_TMB.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Market session analysis\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\\\/\",\"name\":\"Stock Market: Why AI Isn't Driving Markets Higher Anymore (And My Key Levels)\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/stock-market-why-ai-isnt-driving-markets-higher-anymore-and-my-key-levels\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/01\\\/260126_000151_T-GMT_gmt_EN-US_TMB.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-01-26T10:41:10+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-05T07:36:13+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/2b6f1d33be6ec21d70fbf33dd1d5c5d4\"},\"description\":\"Analysis of market stagnation versus AI costs. 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