{"id":873,"date":"2026-02-03T09:41:40","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T09:41:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/a-deceptive-stock-market-euphoria-analyzing-the-rebound-and-sector-rotation\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T07:37:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T07:37:13","slug":"a-deceptive-stock-market-euphoria-analyzing-the-rebound-and-sector-rotation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/a-deceptive-stock-market-euphoria-analyzing-the-rebound-and-sector-rotation\/","title":{"rendered":"A Deceptive Stock Market Euphoria? Analyzing the Rebound and Sector Rotation"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 id=\"a-deceptive-stock-market-euphoria-analyzing-the-rebound-and-sector-rotation\">A Deceptive Stock Market Euphoria? Analyzing the Rebound and Sector Rotation<\/h1>\n<p>We had quite a scare overnight, but frankly, what followed looks like a fantastic comeback. While I&#39;ve been a trader for over 30 years, observing such resilience remains fascinating: after a nocturnal drop, the indices erased their losses to reach symbolic peaks. But behind this apparent euphoria, we must understand the structure of the movement so as not to get trapped by the general mood.<\/p>\n<p><div style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><div class=\"lyte-wrapper fourthree\" title=\"Rotation to Small Caps: Russell 2000 Outperforms Nasdaq\" style=\"width:420px;max-width:100%;margin:5px auto;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_tFPzHJtffHM\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/tFPzHJtffHM\/hqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/tFPzHJtffHM\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT10M40S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2026-02-03T09:34:30Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_tFPzHJtffHM\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/tFPzHJtffHM\/hqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Rotation to Small Caps: Russell 2000 Outperforms Nasdaq<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/tFPzHJtffHM\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/tFPzHJtffHM\/0.jpg\" alt=\"Rotation to Small Caps: Russell 2000 Outperforms Nasdaq\" width=\"420\" height=\"295\" \/><br \/>Lire cette vid\u00e9o sur YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Rotation to small caps: I review this market euphoria and what is really changing beneath the rise. The indices are rebounding strongly (Nasdaq, S&P 500, Dow Jones, as well as CAC 40 and DAX), but I note above all the outperformance of the Russell 2000 and what this says about flows: less money on the top tier, more on US small caps. I also discuss AI, chipmakers, gold (technical rebound after a drop close to 20%) and Bitcoin, held by the 75,000 level. Subscribe if this helps you. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a &#36;100 USD gift token \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/news\/ 30 years of trading, 25 years of teaching, a double expertise at the service of your success \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/ Benoist Rousseau Trader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Risk Warning: Trading in leveraged financial instruments may expose you to a risk of loss exceeding deposits and is only suitable for experienced clients who have sufficient financial means to bear such risk. Transactions in foreign exchange instruments (Forex), contracts for difference (CFDs), Futures, Stocks, ETFs... are highly speculative and particularly complex and carry a high level of risk due to leverage. You must ensure that you understand how these instruments work and that you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. The videos and articles on this site are for educational and informational purposes only and are not investment advice or any inducement to buy or sell financial instruments. Every investor must make their own judgment before investing in a financial product to ensure it is suitable for their financial, tax and legal situation.\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:420px;margin:5px auto;\"><\/div><\/div>\n<p>Subscribe to the YouTube channel in 1 click <script src=\"https:\/\/apis.google.com\/js\/platform.js\"><\/script><span class=\"g-ytsubscribe\" data-channelid=\"UCdJNLC4XwD9bwYXDNcxLIzQ\" data-layout=\"default\" data-count=\"hidden\"><\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"a-rebound-defying-gravity\">A Rebound Defying Gravity<\/h2>\n<p>To put it simply, last night was turbulent, but the wake-up call was explosive. On the Nasdaq, we touched 25,200 points in the dead of night before climbing in a straight line to stall \u2013 logically \u2013 at the symbolic level of 26,000 points. It&#39;s clean, it&#39;s technical.<\/p>\n<p>Same observation elsewhere:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The <strong>S&P 500<\/strong> went back above 7,000 points.<\/li>\n<li>The <strong>Dow Jones<\/strong> gained 1,000 points in a straight line (about 2%), going from 48,600 to over 49,600.<\/li>\n<li>In Europe, the <strong>DAX 40<\/strong> is taking back 2% and teasing 25,000, while the <strong>CAC 40<\/strong> returns to the top of its usual range.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Basically, if you were buying yesterday, it was almost impossible to lose money, the bullish will was so powerful.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"why-this-sudden-euphoria\">Why This Sudden Euphoria?<\/h2>\n<p>Thanks for asking, because that&#39;s where it gets interesting. Actually, several factors aligned to sweep away last week&#39;s doubts:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Artificial Intelligence Reassures<\/strong>: Fears about AI profitability have dissipated. The demand is there.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Chipmakers Explode<\/strong>: SanDisk gained 15%, AMD 4%, and Micron over 5%. It&#39;s a powerful engine.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Earnings Anticipation<\/strong>: Giants like Alphabet (+1.68%) and Amazon (+1.53%) are rising even before their publications, a sign of blind confidence from investors.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Solid Macros<\/strong>: The US economy is doing well, and corporate earnings are exceeding expectations (11% growth versus 9% expected).<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h3 id=\"the-rotation-towards-small-caps\">The Rotation Towards &quot;Small&quot; Caps<\/h3>\n<p>However, there is a crucial nuance to grasp. The index outperforming everyone isn&#39;t the Nasdaq, it&#39;s the <strong>Russell 2000<\/strong>. Since the start of the year, the S&P 500 has gained 2%, while the Russell leads with a 6% leap.<\/p>\n<p>Investors are neglecting the top of the basket a bit (the stars that are too expensive) to seek growth in more modest companies. Well, when we say &quot;modest&quot; in the United States, we&#39;re talking about businesses worth a billion dollars\u2026 in other markets, these would be leaders! But this rotation proves that managers have a strong conviction about the global health of the US economy.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"the-cold-shower-gold-bitcoin-and-disney\">The Cold Shower: Gold, Bitcoin and Disney<\/h2>\n<p>Not everything is rosy, though. While stocks are blazing, other assets are suffering from worrying inertia.<\/p>\n<p>On the <strong>Gold<\/strong> side, as I anticipated after its parabolic acceleration, the penalty fell: -20% from the highs. Here, we have a small bounce of 5%, but let&#39;s be clear, it&#39;s purely technical.<\/p>\n<p>For <strong>Bitcoin<\/strong>, it&#39;s even trickier. It continues its &quot;descent into hell&quot;, saved in extremis by the $75,000 support. We are oscillating towards 78,000 - 79,000, but technically, it absolutely doesn&#39;t make you want to buy for the moment.<\/p>\n<p>A quick word on <strong>Disney<\/strong> too: despite good results, the stock is disappointing due to a drop in attendance at international parks. Goes to show, even Mickey isn&#39;t safe.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>Globally, the market is euphoric, carried by a healthy rotation towards small caps. The Nasdaq has actually just crossed 26,000 points as I speak to you. This level now becomes a key support to watch for potential bounces. But be careful, after a day as easy as yesterday, what follows risks being choppier. Keep your discipline, it&#39;s the only bulwark against volatility.<\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"encart\">\n<p>Benoist Rousseau<br \/>\nTrader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist<\/p>\n<p>About the author<br \/>\nBenoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator.<br \/>\nIn the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<p><getresponse-form fields=\"email,name\" form-id=\"58f316f9-64b8-49e1-9eb9-dce612bfba6c\" e=\"0\"><\/getresponse-form><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A Deceptive Stock Market Euphoria? Analyzing the Rebound and Sector Rotation We had quite a scare overnight, but frankly, what followed looks like a fantastic comeback. While I&#39;ve been a trader for over 30 years, observing such resilience remains fascinating: after a nocturnal drop, the indices erased their losses to reach symbolic peaks. But behind [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":872,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-873","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A Deceptive Stock Market Euphoria? 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