{"id":881,"date":"2026-02-10T07:42:16","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T07:42:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/markets-on-pause-why-caution-and-discipline-dominate-this-week\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T07:37:53","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T07:37:53","slug":"markets-on-pause-why-caution-and-discipline-dominate-this-week","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/markets-on-pause-why-caution-and-discipline-dominate-this-week\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets on Pause: Why Caution and Discipline Dominate This Week"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 id=\"markets-on-pause-why-caution-and-discipline-dominate-this-week\">Markets on Pause: Why Caution and Discipline Dominate This Week<\/h1>\n<p>Hello everyone. I am delighted to be back with you for an update in this Good Morning Trading. It is clear that investors are hitting the brakes this week. Basically, we have started &quot;ranging&quot; on most global indices. Why this hesitation? It&#39;s simple: the agenda is ultra-packed and no one wants to take reckless risks before the big announcements. I will break it all down for you and, above all, explain why, sometimes, not trading is the best decision to make.<\/p>\n<p><div style=\"position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;height:0;overflow:hidden;\"><div class=\"lyte-wrapper fourthree\" title=\"Market Update: Why I Didn&#039;t Trade Yesterday &amp; Key Levels to Watch\" style=\"width:420px;max-width:100%;margin:5px auto;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_tRyuaz-Lcic\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/tRyuaz-Lcic\/hqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/tRyuaz-Lcic\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT10M10S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2026-02-10T07:41:10Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_tRyuaz-Lcic\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/tRyuaz-Lcic\/hqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Market Update: Why I Didn&#039;t Trade Yesterday & Key Levels to Watch<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/tRyuaz-Lcic\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/tRyuaz-Lcic\/0.jpg\" alt=\"Market Update: Why I Didn&#039;t Trade Yesterday &amp; Key Levels to Watch\" width=\"420\" height=\"295\" \/><br \/>Lire cette vid\u00e9o sur YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"In this market update, I explain why I didn&#039;t trade yesterday, prioritizing strict trading rules over fatigue to protect capital. Consequently, this session takes a &quot;technical analyst&quot; perspective rather than a combat focus. I review the macro week, covering the delayed US jobs report, inflation data, and CPI, analyzing how these impact Fed rate expectations. I also detail the anticipation surrounding NVIDIA earnings and the resulting nervousness on the Nasdaq. On the charts, the S&P 500 is stalled near 7,000, the Dow Jones holds above 50,000, and the DAX40 remains under resistance. Gold and oil are ranging, while Bitcoin attempts to stabilize around 70,000. Subscribe if this helps. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a &#36;100 USD gift token \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/news\/ 30 years of trading, 25 years of teaching, a double expertise at the service of your success \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/ Benoist Rousseau Trader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Risk Warning: Trading in leveraged financial instruments may expose you to a risk of loss exceeding deposits and is only suitable for experienced clients who have sufficient financial means to bear such risk. Transactions in foreign exchange instruments (Forex), contracts for difference (CFDs), Futures, Stocks, ETFs... are highly speculative and particularly complex and carry a high level of risk due to leverage. You must ensure that you understand how these instruments work and that you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. The videos and articles on this site are for educational and informational purposes only and are not investment advice or any inducement to buy or sell financial instruments. Every investor must make their own judgment before investing in a financial product to ensure it is suitable for their financial, tax and legal situation.\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:420px;margin:5px auto;\"><\/div><\/div>\n<p>Subscribe to the YouTube channel in 1 click <script src=\"https:\/\/apis.google.com\/js\/platform.js\"><\/script><span class=\"g-ytsubscribe\" data-channelid=\"UCdJNLC4XwD9bwYXDNcxLIzQ\" data-layout=\"default\" data-count=\"hidden\"><\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"a-high-tension-macroeconomic-agenda\">A High-Tension Macroeconomic Agenda<\/h2>\n<p>This week, we have two major events pushing everyone towards caution. It&#39;s a bit like the market is holding its breath.<\/p>\n<p>First, we are awaiting <strong>the US employment report<\/strong> this Wednesday. It arrives with a bit of a delay due to administrative changes, but it is crucial. Then, on Friday, it is the turn of <strong>the Consumer Price Index<\/strong> (inflation) to drop.<\/p>\n<p>These two figures will help operators anticipate the pace of the Federal Reserve&#39;s rate adjustments. Add to that a year marked by the future nomination of a new president at the Fed when Jerome Powell&#39;s mandate ends, and you understand why the mood is serious.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"ai-and-the-wait-for-the-titan-nvidia\">AI and the Wait for the Titan Nvidia<\/h2>\n<p>Beyond macroeconomics, the tech sector is feverish. We have all these fears linked to artificial intelligence that can make the Nasdaq dive for a few days before it tries to climb back up, often without much energy.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, we&#39;ve put another coin in the machine: everyone is waiting for February 25. That is the date of the results for the giant Nvidia. Until we have these figures and the outlook for the next three months, the market will remain tense and buffeted. So be careful, you can gain 2 or 3% one day on the Nasdaq and lose everything the next.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"update-on-indices-records-and-ceilings\">Update on Indices: Records and Ceilings<\/h2>\n<p>Despite this waiting atmosphere, the technical configurations remain interesting:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Dow Jones:<\/strong> It is the strongest. It closed above 50,000 points, beating its historical record again. This is an extremely positive signal as long as we hold this symbolic level.<\/li>\n<li><strong>S&P 500:<\/strong> It is progressing a little, but it is struggling with the 7,000-point mark. It is a double resistance (with its &quot;monthly middle R1&quot;). It will need good news, perhaps coming from employment or inflation, to turn this ceiling into support.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Nasdaq:<\/strong> It bounced cleanly off 25,000 points. This is the great classic we love in scalping. But it remains stuck at the bottom of its two-month range.<\/li>\n<li><strong>DAX 40:<\/strong> It is also bumping up against a monthly resistance and lacks buying momentum to pass above.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"gold-and-bitcoin-watch-out-for-the-no-mans-land\">Gold and Bitcoin: Watch Out for the &quot;No Man&#39;s Land&quot;<\/h2>\n<p>Regarding other assets, caution is also required:<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Gold:<\/strong> As I feared, it has started ranging between 4,750 and 5,100. Frankly, this is not the time to intervene. If you trade in the middle of the range, you are in the middle of the desert, where the risk is maximal. It is better to wait for the breakout.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Bitcoin:<\/strong> It is attempting to stabilize around $69,000 - $70,000, but it is very fragile. Over 15 days, the trend remains bearish. Bitcoin is not used to ranging for so long, so watch out for violent ruptures. It is literally a coin toss at the moment.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2 id=\"conclusion-respect-your-fatigue\">Conclusion: Respect Your Fatigue<\/h2>\n<p>To finish on a more personal note, yesterday, I did not trade. I was tired and I preferred to respect my trading rules and my discipline. Today, I feel a bit fitter to return to the fight.<\/p>\n<p>Never forget: if you are not at 100%, stay a spectator. That is also what it takes to last in the markets. Take care of yourselves and see you tomorrow!<\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"encart\">\n<p>Benoist Rousseau<br \/>\nTrader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist<\/p>\n<p>About the author<br \/>\nBenoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator.<br \/>\nIn the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<p><getresponse-form fields=\"email,name\" form-id=\"58f316f9-64b8-49e1-9eb9-dce612bfba6c\" e=\"0\"><\/getresponse-form><\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><iframe name=\"Ausha Podcast Player\" frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\" id=\"ausha-DmwZ\" height=\"420\" style=\"border: none; width:100%; height:420px\" src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/?showId=A3nOvHk1pgeM&color=%23751CBF&display=horizontal&multishow=false&playlist=true&dark=false&v=3&playerId=ausha-DmwZ\"><\/iframe><script src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/ausha-player.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Markets on Pause: Why Caution and Discipline Dominate This Week Hello everyone. I am delighted to be back with you for an update in this Good Morning Trading. It is clear that investors are hitting the brakes this week. Basically, we have started &quot;ranging&quot; on most global indices. Why this hesitation? It&#39;s simple: the agenda [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":880,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-881","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Markets on Pause: Why Caution and Discipline Dominate This Week<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Markets on hold: analysis of the current range, Dow Jones records, and caution on the Nasdaq before US stats. 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