{"id":911,"date":"2026-03-04T08:30:55","date_gmt":"2026-03-04T08:30:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/my-market-analysis-amid-the-middle-east-crisis\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T07:38:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T07:38:13","slug":"my-market-analysis-amid-the-middle-east-crisis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/my-market-analysis-amid-the-middle-east-crisis\/","title":{"rendered":"My Market Analysis Amid the Middle East Crisis"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 id=\"my-market-analysis-amid-the-middle-east-crisis\">My Market Analysis Amid the Middle East Crisis<\/h1>\n<p>Geopolitics are crashing the market party, but should we really be worried? In the midst of the conflict between Iran and Israel, we&#39;ve seen gas prices soar by 200% in just three days. Yet, the stock market reality is quite different from the panic broadcast on television. I&#39;ll explain how I decode this highly nervous period, caught between American resilience and European pessimism.<br \/><b><\/p>\n<div style=\"max-width: 560px; margin: 0 auto; line-height: 1.5 !important;\">\n<div style=\"line-height: 0;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/b><div class=\"lyte-wrapper fourthree\" title=\"Financial markets: why there is no panic despite the Iran-Israel war\" style=\"width:420px;max-width:100%;margin:5px auto;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_y75yJcwfZgM\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/y75yJcwfZgM\/hqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/y75yJcwfZgM\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT13M19S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2026-03-04T08:22:29Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_y75yJcwfZgM\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/y75yJcwfZgM\/hqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Financial markets: why there is no panic despite the Iran-Israel war<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/y75yJcwfZgM\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/y75yJcwfZgM\/0.jpg\" alt=\"Financial markets: why there is no panic despite the Iran-Israel war\" width=\"420\" height=\"295\" \/><br \/>Lire cette vid\u00e9o sur YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Financial markets and market news: I review the Iran-Israel war and the real reaction of prices. We see natural gas soaring, oil near &#36;80 without overheating (Strait of Hormuz in the background), and indices falling without any panic. I also compare the CAC 40 and DAX 40 to the behavior of US indices (Dow Jones, Nasdaq, S&P 500), then I come back to gold, the media, and Bitcoin stuck in a range. Subscribe if this helps. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a &#36;100 USD gift token \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/news\/ 30 years of trading, 25 years of teaching, a double expertise at the service of your success \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/ Benoist Rousseau Trader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Risk Warning: Trading in leveraged financial instruments may expose you to a risk of loss exceeding deposits and is only suitable for experienced clients who have sufficient financial means to bear such risk. Transactions in foreign exchange instruments (Forex), contracts for difference (CFDs), Futures, Stocks, ETFs... are highly speculative and particularly complex and carry a high level of risk due to leverage. You must ensure that you understand how these instruments work and that you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. The videos and articles on this site are for educational and informational purposes only and are not investment advice or any inducement to buy or sell financial instruments. Every investor must make their own judgment before investing in a financial product to ensure it is suitable for their financial, tax and legal situation.\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:420px;margin:5px auto;\"><\/div><b><\/b><br \/>Subscribe to the YouTube channel with 1 click <script src=\"https:\/\/apis.google.com\/js\/platform.js\"><\/script><span class=\"g-ytsubscribe\" data-channelid=\"UCdJNLC4XwD9bwYXDNcxLIzQ\" data-layout=\"default\" data-count=\"hidden\" <b>style=\"vertical-align: middle; margin-left: 5px;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"the-current-energy-landscape-\ud83d\udee2\ufe0f\">The Current Energy Landscape \ud83d\udee2\ufe0f<\/h2>\n<p>We are undeniably in a tension zone. Global markets have reacted. Qatar suspended its production as a precaution. As a result, gas prices spiked violently.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, oil remains relatively calm around $80. Why such a stark difference? Actually, only 20% of global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Plus, Saudi Arabia has built pipelines to export massively toward the West. This infrastructure greatly reduces the overall risk.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"how-the-markets-are-reacting-in-3-points\">How the Markets Are Reacting in 3 Points<\/h2>\n<p>Here is how the markets are digesting the situation. Basically, we&#39;re seeing three major price dynamics play out.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Europe is feeling gloomy.<\/strong> The CAC 40 and the DAX 40 are flirting with their annual lows. Europe is suffering from its heavy industrial and energy dependency.<\/li>\n<li><strong>America is holding up well.<\/strong> The Dow Jones proudly holds the 48,000-point area. Moreover, the Nasdaq executed a perfect bounce off 24,500 points. Frankly, economic leaders often fare better during crises.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Gold and Bitcoin are stagnating.<\/strong> Gold surged as a safe haven before pulling back to its 5,100 zone. As for Bitcoin, it&#39;s simply consolidating between $65,000 and $70,000. Investor interest is fading just a bit at the moment.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2 id=\"investor-psychology-\ud83e\udde0\">Investor Psychology \ud83e\udde0<\/h2>\n<p>Looking at my screens, I&#39;ve noticed a truly clear cycle over the past few days. It&#39;s a clash of two distinct moods. In the morning, Europe drops heavily under the weight of uncertainty.<\/p>\n<p>Then, the American opening absorbs the fall and propels prices upward. It\u2019s the classic story of the glass half empty versus the glass half full. Consequently, my favorite strategy lately is hunting for a small morning bounce at the European lows. You place a small lot and cash in on the American momentum.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"gauging-the-real-risks\">Gauging the Real Risks<\/h2>\n<p>Of course, the situation deserves our full attention. If Iran managed to block the Strait of Hormuz over the long term, that would be highly problematic. It is indeed one of the last cards this regime has to play.<\/p>\n<p>However, on a purely military level, major strikes seem to be contained. As soon as a missile takes off, satellites target it immediately. The arsenal therefore loses effectiveness at a rapid pace. As a result, the intensity of the conflict mechanically decreases as the days go by.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>To sum up my thoughts, the financial markets are simply a bit jittery right now. We are absolutely not looking at a scenario of a widespread, massive crash.<\/p>\n<p>&quot;Keep calm and carry on.&quot; Keep your cool, protect your capital, and turn off the 24\/7 news channels. We&#39;ll catch up very soon to see how events unfold.<\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"encart\">\n<p>Benoist Rousseau<br \/>\nTrader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist<\/p>\n<p>About the author<br \/>\nBenoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator.<br \/>\nIn the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<p><getresponse-form fields=\"email,name\" form-id=\"58f316f9-64b8-49e1-9eb9-dce612bfba6c\" e=\"0\"><\/getresponse-form><\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><iframe name=\"Ausha Podcast Player\" frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\" id=\"ausha-DmwZ\" height=\"420\" style=\"border: none; width:100%; height:420px\" src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/?showId=A3nOvHk1pgeM&color=%23751CBF&display=horizontal&multishow=false&playlist=true&dark=false&v=3&playerId=ausha-DmwZ\"><\/iframe><script src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/ausha-player.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>My Market Analysis Amid the Middle East Crisis Geopolitics are crashing the market party, but should we really be worried? In the midst of the conflict between Iran and Israel, we&#39;ve seen gas prices soar by 200% in just three days. Yet, the stock market reality is quite different from the panic broadcast on television. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":910,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-911","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>My Market Analysis Amid the Middle East Crisis<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Navigating market jitters amid the Middle East conflict. 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