{"id":927,"date":"2026-03-12T08:43:02","date_gmt":"2026-03-12T08:43:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/global-tensions-and-markets-what-you-actually-need-to-know\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T07:34:33","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T07:34:33","slug":"global-tensions-and-markets-what-you-actually-need-to-know","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/global-tensions-and-markets-what-you-actually-need-to-know\/","title":{"rendered":"Global tensions and markets: what you actually need to know"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 id=\"global-tensions-and-markets-what-you-actually-need-to-know\">Global tensions and markets: what you actually need to know<\/h1>\n<p>We hear all kinds of contradictory things about the impact of current conflicts. Frankly, there is a massive gap between propaganda and actual prices. Let me explain how the markets are really reacting today.<\/p>\n<p><b><\/p>\n<div style=\"max-width: 560px; margin: 0 auto; line-height: 1.5 !important;\">\n<div style=\"line-height: 0;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/b><div class=\"lyte-wrapper fourthree\" title=\"Strait of Hormuz: barrel, gold, Nasdaq&hellip; review of a tense session\" style=\"width:420px;max-width:100%;margin:5px auto;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_ZalWnigAMSY\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/ZalWnigAMSY\/hqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/ZalWnigAMSY\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT13M28S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2026-03-12T08:38:35Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_ZalWnigAMSY\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/ZalWnigAMSY\/hqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">Strait of Hormuz: barrel, gold, Nasdaq\u2026 review of a tense session<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/ZalWnigAMSY\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/ZalWnigAMSY\/0.jpg\" alt=\"Strait of Hormuz: barrel, gold, Nasdaq&hellip; review of a tense session\" width=\"420\" height=\"295\" \/><br \/>Lire cette vid\u00e9o sur YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"Strait of Hormuz and oil prices: I recount the session as I experienced it on Good Morning Trading, covering this 13th day of war and the fire on two oil tankers. I detail the barrel&#039;s rebound towards &#36;92, mainly driven by Asia, and the IEA&#039;s intervention with 400 million barrels. I also cover Bitcoin at 70,000, declining gold prices (a strong signal regarding market anxiety), and a deeply boring Nasdaq following an acceleration. Here is what I take away, backed by charts. Subscribe if this helps. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a &#36;100 USD gift token \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/news\/ 30 years of trading, 25 years of teaching, a double expertise at the service of your success \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/ Benoist Rousseau Trader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Risk Warning: Trading in leveraged financial instruments may expose you to a risk of loss exceeding deposits and is only suitable for experienced clients who have sufficient financial means to bear such risk. Transactions in foreign exchange instruments (Forex), contracts for difference (CFDs), Futures, Stocks, ETFs... are highly speculative and particularly complex and carry a high level of risk due to leverage. You must ensure that you understand how these instruments work and that you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. The videos and articles on this site are for educational and informational purposes only and are not investment advice or any inducement to buy or sell financial instruments. Every investor must make their own judgment before investing in a financial product to ensure it is suitable for their financial, tax and legal situation.\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:420px;margin:5px auto;\"><\/div><b><\/b><br \/>Subscribe to the YouTube channel in 1 click <script src=\"https:\/\/apis.google.com\/js\/platform.js\"><\/script><span class=\"g-ytsubscribe\" data-channelid=\"UCdJNLC4XwD9bwYXDNcxLIzQ\" data-layout=\"default\" data-count=\"hidden\" <b>style=\"vertical-align: middle; margin-left: 5px;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"the-geopolitical-context\">The geopolitical context<\/h2>\n<p>Basically, we are on day 13 of the conflict. Tensions remain quite high. Iran recently hit two oil tankers in Iraqi waters. So, the Strait of Hormuz is more or less blocked. Well, mostly for Western ships, anyway. Chinese boats, on the other hand, seem to pass through without any issue. As a result, it is a real double standard.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"the-real-tension-the-energy-market\">The real tension: the energy market<\/h2>\n<p>The main concern today is the price of a barrel of oil. Currently, it is hovering around $92. In fact, it&#39;s mostly the Asian markets that are stressing out. China was buying a lot of Iranian oil at a hefty discount. Now, that is going to cost them much more. To calm things down, 400 million barrels have been released. This is a strategic reserve managed by the International Energy Agency. It represents about three weeks of normal consumption.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"the-state-of-the-markets-in-4-points\">The state of the markets in 4 points<\/h2>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>Bitcoin and Gold:<\/strong> Bitcoin is stagnating around $70,000. However, gold has lost about 6% since its peak. It dropped back down to around 5,100. In short, the situation isn&#39;t that alarming.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Nasdaq:<\/strong> After a massive 4% increase, it is stalling out. This is a true classic. When the market goes up too fast, the next day is super quiet.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Dow Jones and the DAX:<\/strong> They are quite weak. But they are stabilizing at the lows of the week. Nevertheless, they are not the most reassuring indices.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The CAC 40:<\/strong> It is slightly under 8,000 points. Honestly, it&#39;s often the worst performer of the group. It drops very fast and struggles hard to climb back up.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2 id=\"a-reflection-of-the-moment\">A reflection of the moment<\/h2>\n<p>The overall reaction looks a lot like classic human nature. Essentially, primal survival takes over. It&#39;s a bit like our ancestors who had to hunt woolly mammoths. People are worried about paying more for their gas. The rest of the geopolitics usually feels too distant to them.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"a-slight-nuance\">A slight nuance<\/h2>\n<p>In my view, we must remain very cautious. Some media outlets are sharing predictions of a $200 barrel. That is mostly to play on our fears and sell ads. The recent drop in gold proves that the anxiety remains manageable. It is expected that market inertia will quietly regain the upper hand.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>To sum up, the asymmetry between media noise and the charts is massive. Keep a rigorous mental framework and ignore the global hype. Take care, and I will see you tomorrow to analyze the markets.<\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"encart\">\n<p>Benoist Rousseau<br \/>\nTrader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist<\/p>\n<p>About the author<br \/>\nBenoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator.<br \/>\nIn the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<p><getresponse-form fields=\"email,name\" form-id=\"58f316f9-64b8-49e1-9eb9-dce612bfba6c\" e=\"0\"><\/getresponse-form><\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><iframe name=\"Ausha Podcast Player\" frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\" id=\"ausha-DmwZ\" height=\"420\" style=\"border: none; width:100%; height:420px\" src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/?showId=A3nOvHk1pgeM&color=%23751CBF&display=horizontal&multishow=false&playlist=true&dark=false&v=3&playerId=ausha-DmwZ\"><\/iframe><script src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/ausha-player.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Global tensions and markets: what you actually need to know We hear all kinds of contradictory things about the impact of current conflicts. Frankly, there is a massive gap between propaganda and actual prices. Let me explain how the markets are really reacting today. Subscribe to the YouTube channel in 1 click The geopolitical context [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":926,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-927","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Global tensions and markets: what you actually need to know<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Market analysis amid global tensions. 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