{"id":933,"date":"2026-03-17T08:28:06","date_gmt":"2026-03-17T08:28:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\/"},"modified":"2026-04-05T07:33:44","modified_gmt":"2026-04-05T07:33:44","slug":"markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\/","title":{"rendered":"Markets on Hold: FOMC, Geopolitics, and NVIDIA's Impact"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1 id=\"markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\">Markets on Hold: FOMC, Geopolitics, and NVIDIA&#39;s Impact<\/h1>\n<p>This is the fourth time I&#39;ve recorded this episode! Between the video and the audio deciding to crash for fun, I&#39;m going straight to the point with an ultra-fast rundown. Yesterday, we got exactly the <em>range<\/em> market (flat, going nowhere) I warned you about. On the Nasdaq, we stayed inside a tight 150-point channel\u2014barely 0.66%. Bottom line: nothing happened. Today, I&#39;ll break down this inertia, the key levels to watch, and the major presentation that could shake up the tech world.<br \/><b><\/p>\n<div style=\"max-width: 560px; margin: 0 auto; line-height: 1.5 !important;\">\n<div style=\"line-height: 0;\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/b><div class=\"lyte-wrapper fourthree\" title=\"FOMC and Nasdaq 100: Why Powell matters less and the market falls asleep\" style=\"width:420px;max-width:100%;margin:5px auto;\"><div class=\"lyMe\" id=\"WYL_2my_rlf5cos\" itemprop=\"video\" itemscope itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/VideoObject\"><div><meta itemprop=\"thumbnailUrl\" content=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/2my_rlf5cos\/hqdefault.jpg\" \/><meta itemprop=\"embedURL\" content=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2my_rlf5cos\" \/><meta itemprop=\"duration\" content=\"PT8M32S\" \/><meta itemprop=\"uploadDate\" content=\"2026-03-17T08:27:13Z\" \/><\/div><div id=\"lyte_2my_rlf5cos\" data-src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/2my_rlf5cos\/hqdefault.jpg\" class=\"pL\"><div class=\"tC\"><div class=\"tT\" itemprop=\"name\">FOMC and Nasdaq 100: Why Powell matters less and the market falls asleep<\/div><\/div><div class=\"play\"><\/div><div class=\"ctrl\"><div class=\"Lctrl\"><\/div><div class=\"Rctrl\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><noscript><a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/2my_rlf5cos\" rel=\"nofollow\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/2my_rlf5cos\/0.jpg\" alt=\"FOMC and Nasdaq 100: Why Powell matters less and the market falls asleep\" width=\"420\" height=\"295\" \/><br \/>Lire cette vid\u00e9o sur YouTube<\/a><\/noscript><meta itemprop=\"description\" content=\"FOMC and Nasdaq 100: Benoist Rousseau describes a waiting market, featuring a tight trading range and visible sellers above 25,000. He relies on FedWatch (unchanged rates) and reminds us that major funds don&#039;t take positions 24\u201348h before the FOMC. He also points out the rebound on 24,750, the monthly mid-SA, and the weekly R1 zone. Finally, caution is advised around the Nvidia show (AI chips and software), while WTI, gold, and Bitcoin remain rather stable. Subscribe if this helps. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a &#36;100 USD gift token \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/news\/ 30 years of trading, 25 years of teaching, a double expertise at the service of your success \ud83d\udc49 https:\/\/www.benoistrousseau.com\/en\/ Benoist Rousseau Trader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Risk Warning: Trading in leveraged financial instruments may expose you to a risk of loss exceeding deposits and is only suitable for experienced clients who have sufficient financial means to bear such risk. Transactions in foreign exchange instruments (Forex), contracts for difference (CFDs), Futures, Stocks, ETFs... are highly speculative and particularly complex and carry a high level of risk due to leverage. You must ensure that you understand how these instruments work and that you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. The videos and articles on this site are for educational and informational purposes only and are not investment advice or any inducement to buy or sell financial instruments. Every investor must make their own judgment before investing in a financial product to ensure it is suitable for their financial, tax and legal situation.\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"lL\" style=\"max-width:100%;width:420px;margin:5px auto;\"><\/div><b><\/b><br \/>Subscribe to the YouTube channel in 1 click <script src=\"https:\/\/apis.google.com\/js\/platform.js\"><\/script><span class=\"g-ytsubscribe\" data-channelid=\"UCdJNLC4XwD9bwYXDNcxLIzQ\" data-layout=\"default\" data-count=\"hidden\" <b>style=\"vertical-align: middle; margin-left: 5px;\"><\/span><\/p>\n<h2 id=\"1-market-torpor-and-the-fed-factor\">1. Market Torpor and the Fed Factor<\/h2>\n<p>The market is slow, and that&#39;s perfectly logical. Basically, everyone is waiting for the FOMC decision (the U.S. central bank). Specifically, the CME FedWatch tool says 99.1% of investors expect rates to remain unchanged.<\/p>\n<p>As a reminder, the classic setup is that institutional fund managers never take a position 24\u201348 hours before this kind of event; doing so would be a serious portfolio-management mistake. On top of that, Jerome Powell&#39;s remarks will probably matter less than usual. Since he&#39;s stepping down in the next two months, the market may listen with only half an ear. By the way, I kind of miss Ben Bernanke at times like this!<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"2-a-technical-check-in-on-the-indices\">2. A Technical Check-In on the Indices<\/h2>\n<p>Despite the wait, chart analysis still gives us some valuable clues. \ud83d\udcca<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>The Nasdaq 100:<\/strong> 25,000 is holding up with real conviction. Sellers stepped in right above it\u2014thanks for paying up so we could get a clean confirmation! We then bounced off my favorite level, 24,750.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The Dow Jones:<\/strong> It&#39;s glued to its lows, unable to muster any energy at all. Honestly, I wouldn&#39;t put a dollar into it today.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The CAC 40:<\/strong> It managed to save the day around 7,900. But as long as it stays below 8,000, downside pressure remains in control.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The DAX 40:<\/strong> Total stability\u2014it&#39;s exactly at the same level as yesterday.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<h2 id=\"3-geopolitics-inertia-and-ai-progress\">3. Geopolitics, Inertia, and AI Progress<\/h2>\n<p>On WTI crude, after a brief push toward $100, we&#39;re back around $97. Geopolitics isn&#39;t really moving. The French president is convening a defense council to join the U.S.-led coalition. Ideally, it would be nice to do that before the war is over! Gold is also stalling around 5,000, right on its monthly pivot. This broad stagnation shows the market isn&#39;t feeling major fear: tensions have almost become routine.<\/p>\n<p>On the crypto side, Bitcoin is consolidating cleanly and seems to be eyeing its big symbolic level at \u20ac75,000.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, artificial intelligence is showing strong momentum. Tesla is up 1% after announcing the launch of its &quot;TerraFab&quot; AI buses due in seven days, and Foxconn is posting very solid revenue guidance thanks to supplying AI servers.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"4-a-palpable-tension-around-nvidia\">4. A Palpable Tension Around NVIDIA<\/h2>\n<p>This is the real tension of the day: NVIDIA&#39;s CEO is unveiling its new chips today. It&#39;s basically an Apple-style keynote, but tuned for artificial intelligence. \ud83d\udea8<\/p>\n<p>Every word will be scrutinized, because the announcement will lay out a true market roadmap for the next six months to two years.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>A perfect example of asymmetry:<\/strong> If they roll out a breakthrough chip that processes information five times faster, uses 30% less energy, and costs half as much, the stock will literally take off.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The flip side:<\/strong> If the tech disappoints, NVIDIA&#39;s weight is so massive in the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 that it could trigger a sharp selloff wave.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2 id=\"conclusion\">Conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>So prudence is your best ally today. Tomorrow, the trend will likely stay very flat until the Fed speech. In this seemingly sleepy setup, keep your mental framework intact so you don&#39;t get caught the wrong way if an unexpected headline hits. Take care, and I&#39;ll see you tomorrow!<\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<div class=\"encart\">\n<p>Benoist Rousseau<br \/>\nTrader \u2022 CME Member \u2022 Economic History Specialist<\/p>\n<p>About the author<br \/>\nBenoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator.<br \/>\nIn the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token<\/p>\n<div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<p><getresponse-form fields=\"email,name\" form-id=\"58f316f9-64b8-49e1-9eb9-dce612bfba6c\" e=\"0\"><\/getresponse-form><\/p>\n<p><div style=\"margin-top: 50px;\"><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><iframe name=\"Ausha Podcast Player\" frameborder=\"0\" loading=\"lazy\" id=\"ausha-DmwZ\" height=\"420\" style=\"border: none; width:100%; height:420px\" src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/?showId=A3nOvHk1pgeM&color=%23751CBF&display=horizontal&multishow=false&playlist=true&dark=false&v=3&playerId=ausha-DmwZ\"><\/iframe><script src=\"https:\/\/player.ausha.co\/ausha-player.js\"><\/script><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Markets on Hold: FOMC, Geopolitics, and NVIDIA&#39;s Impact This is the fourth time I&#39;ve recorded this episode! Between the video and the audio deciding to crash for fun, I&#39;m going straight to the point with an ultra-fast rundown. Yesterday, we got exactly the range market (flat, going nowhere) I warned you about. On the Nasdaq, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":932,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-933","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Markets on Hold: FOMC, Geopolitics, and NVIDIA&#039;s Impact<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Markets pause ahead of the FOMC and NVIDIA\u2019s chip reveal. Key technical levels for major indices, oil, gold, and Bitcoin to watch.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.andlil.com\/en\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u00c9crit par\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Benoist Rousseau\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Dur\u00e9e de lecture estim\u00e9e\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Benoist Rousseau\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/2b6f1d33be6ec21d70fbf33dd1d5c5d4\"},\"headline\":\"Markets on Hold: FOMC, Geopolitics, and NVIDIA's Impact\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-03-17T08:28:06+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-05T07:33:44+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":712,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/260317-0816_000246-NEVR_T-GMT_gmt17032026_EN-US_TMB.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Market session analysis\"],\"inLanguage\":\"fr-FR\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\\\/\",\"name\":\"Markets on Hold: FOMC, Geopolitics, and NVIDIA's Impact\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/markets-on-hold-fomc-geopolitics-and-nvidias-impact\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/03\\\/260317-0816_000246-NEVR_T-GMT_gmt17032026_EN-US_TMB.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-03-17T08:28:06+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-05T07:33:44+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.andlil.com\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/2b6f1d33be6ec21d70fbf33dd1d5c5d4\"},\"description\":\"Markets pause ahead of the FOMC and NVIDIA\u2019s chip reveal. 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