My calm outlook on the Nasdaq, Bitcoin, and media fear
My calm outlook on the Nasdaq, Bitcoin, and media fear
Contents
I'm not the type to cry about the end of the world at the slightest stock market tremor. By the way, if I was a bit late this morning, it's because I was watching the incredible rebound of the Nasdaq on the magic 25,000-point zone. Basically, I'm going to show you today why it's better to ignore the media's anxiety-driven economy and stay pragmatic in front of your screens.
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Resisting media panic
The media loves to talk about historic collapses to drive viewership and clicks. Frankly, it's become a veritable industry of anxiety. But when you look at the actual charts, the reality is far more nuanced. Instead of panicking, I try to understand the price structure with clarity.
Here are the four major dynamics I'm currently observing:
- The nice Nasdaq rebound: We bounced nicely off 24,500 to gain nearly 3% (or about 750 points). Currently, we're navigating around 25,000 points with great resilience.
- The robustness of Israeli tech: I was asked if this market was artificially propped up. Actually, no. The typical path of a founder there often starts in the army, followed by launching a start-up (defense, data, software). In times of crisis, these sectors explode organically before these companies are often listed in the United States.
- The European index contrast: The French CAC 40 remains at its lowest, struggling to hold its 8,100 points. It's kind of the underperformer right now. Conversely, the German DAX 40 is showing more energy on its supports.
- The clear awakening of Bitcoin: The asset has experienced genuine acceleration. It broke the 70,000 mark to climb toward 74,000, validating a beautiful Dow Theory setup (a chart pattern indicating a clear upward trend).
Finding balance before acting
On the Nasdaq, after this beautiful move, the price froze right in the middle of its channel over the last fifteen days. I like to compare this situation to the balance of the Force that Master Yoda talks about in Star Wars.
At this exact 50% point, it's almost a coin toss. However, you must stay disciplined. The nuance is clear: since the market is in perfect balance, the best thing to say is that there is nothing to do right now. I'm simply waiting for a new imbalance to be created to look for smart opportunities on the charts.
Conclusion
In short, the apocalypse is absolutely not happening tomorrow. Don't waste your life waiting for it! Leave the prophets of doom to their speeches, be patient in your decisions, and analyze cycles methodically. By the way, from now on, you can listen to me in a podcast version translated into several languages, including Japanese with a little Tokyo accent. Live serenely, and I'll see you very soon in front of the markets!
Benoist Rousseau
Trader • CME Member • Economic History Specialist
About the author
Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator.
In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning.
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