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s&p500 average daily price change = lowest level since 1965

par Tartempion » 14 Juil 2017 10:45

hello everybody !
here is an interesting and very short paper :

http://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2017/07/12/the-constant-reminder/

There seems to be a little discrepency between the political volatility and the financial markets volatility.

Re: s&p500 average daily price change = lowest level since 1

par BillyRayValentine » 14 Juil 2017 11:29

Low volatility is typical of bull markets. The 50's were even more quiet in market volatility terms, whereas the same cannot be said on the political field during that period !
After low volatility comes high volatility is as cliché as saying after sun comes rain.
The rise of volatility cannot be anticipated, It closely follows the start of correction (0-20%) and craches (20%+) the latest being the only ones that can be predicted with a very high probability, almost certainty.
This article comes along with other ones coming form much bigger funds, institutions and banks in the US that predict a downturn in the economy coming very soon. Sure it will come, but the indexes could very well be several tens of percent above current levels at this moment. Such a pessimistic mood is a strong contrarian indicator.

Re: s&p500 average daily price change = lowest level since 1

par Eversa » 14 Juil 2017 11:59

Spoiler:
Pour tous ceux qui parlent l'anglais: il y a un nouvel inscrit qui ne parle pas un mot (ou très peu) de français. Voici sa présentation au cas où...
merci.
presentation-aslan-t17185.html

Re: s&p500 average daily price change = lowest level since 1

par Tartempion » 14 Juil 2017 12:10

I did not have that precise graph in mind. I find it interesting to have it in mind. After that everyone draws the lessons (or not) that he wants!
Yes the contrarian character is a risk to take into account.

Spoiler:
Eversa , je vais lui dire bonjour , mais franchement je parle anglais comme une vache espagnole :|

Re: s&p500 average daily price change = lowest level since 1

par Eversa » 14 Juil 2017 12:32

Spoiler:
Tartempion: :mercichinois: pour l'anglais.


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